Hoping for Cutler, Likely LePage

Those following the Maine governors race will note that 91% of the precincts have reported and LePage is over Cutler by 7,578 votes.  Unfortunately, a Moogaz analysis of the remaining towns shows Cutler probably will not be able to make up the difference.

Here are the top 13 remaining.  Estimating the total voters and expected voting percentages (by looking at surrounding towns), the total vote gain for Cutler is potentially only 1,100 votes.

Since all of the other towns on the list TOTAL to 12,000 voters, there’s virtually no path where Cutler can accumulate the 7,600 he needs to win.

But there’s hope in a recount.  We’ll have to wait and see.

Town	Total Votes Est.	Cutler	LePage	Others	Potential Vote Gain +- Cutler
Scarborough	7992	45	35	20	799
Waterville	4947	35	55	10	-989
Farmington	2944	45	35	20	294
Belfast	2571	46	24	30	566
Rockland	2396	46	24	30	527
Sidney	1563	46	24	30	344
Winterport	1493	46	24	30	328
Oxford	1490	32	40	28	-119
Madison	1477	31	49	20	-266
Litchfield	1325	36	39	25	-40
Pittsfield	1321	36	39	25	-40
Limington	1273	32	39	29	-89
Pittston	1080	35	55	10	-216